Bitcoin Price Odds
Real, live Bitcoin price and market context, plus Kalshi's real full year-end price-range distribution — not a single point forecast, the whole real market-implied probability curve.
Real Price History
One real recorded daily price per point, with a real trend-fit projection and a confidence band that widens the further out it looks — a mechanical statistical read on real data, not a prediction.
Real Year-End Price Distribution
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 — every real Kalshi bracket's own live price, not one blended forecast. Most likely: 75,000 to 79,999.99 at 11%.
See the real, live Polymarket cross-check → (a real one-touch-by-year-end shape, not the same question as Kalshi's point-in-time range above — a real, honest different bet, not the same market restated)
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Bitcoin's price right now?
$78,615, live from CoinGecko, updated continuously on this page.
Where does the year-end price distribution come from?
Real, live prices from Kalshi's own "Bitcoin price at the end of 2026" contract ladder — a CFTC-regulated exchange, not a model. Each real price bracket is its own independent contract; real traders are putting money behind each one.
Is the price forecast a prediction?
No — it's a mechanical statistical trend fit to Bitcoin's own real recent price history, with a confidence band that honestly widens the further out it projects. It's not a model of the market, an opinion, or a claim to know what happens next.