Claude / Anthropic
Real, live prediction-market odds on Anthropic and Claude — model releases, benchmark results, and model-leadership odds.
83
Live markets tracked
$75.3K
Real 24h volume
5
Categories active
Best AI Model — By August 2026
Full Leaderboard →99.10%
Real, live odds Anthropic has the single best AI model by the end of August 2026, based on real trading — not app downloads or usage share, which no platform we track publishes.
Vs. The Field — Best AI Model by August 2026
1Anthropic
99.10%
2OpenAI
0.55%
3Google
0.15%
4ByteDance
0.05%
5Z.ai
0.05%
6Moonshot
0.05%
Not enough archived history yet for a trend chart — 6 real days recorded, 7 required. Check back as more days record.
★ Company Valuation & IPO
30 markets · $43.9K 24h volBy Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?By Jan 1, 2027Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?By Jan 1, 2027Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?By Jan 1, 2027Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?By Jan 1, 2027Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?By Jan 1, 2027Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?By Jan 1, 2027Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?By Jan 1, 2027Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?By Jan 1, 2027Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?
13.45%+643
20.50%+388
28.50%+251
9.15%+993
15.60%+541
4.95%+1920
19.25%+419
17.50%+471
2.75%+3536
1.05%
0.70%
10.15%+885
64.40%-181
29.50%+239
6.30%+1487
47.00%+113
2.20%+4445
77.00%-335
83.50%-506
3.85%+2497
85.50%-590
1.70%
95.00%-1900
0.75%
1.80%
0.25%
2.00%+4900
11.05%+805
87.50%-700
0.65%
Model Rankings (Best AI Model/Lab)
23 markets · $22.5K 24h volBy Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?By Sep 7, 2026Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?By Sep 7, 2026Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?By Sep 7, 2026Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
92.50%-1233
99.10%
60.50%-153
88.00%-733
85.00%-567
0.40%
94.00%-1567
83.50%-506
7.50%+1233
99.00%
69.00%-223
2.05%+4778
4.45%+2147
7.85%+1174
68.50%-217
3.45%+2799
1.40%
1.25%
7.50%+1233
86.50%-641
3.80%+2532
0.55%
0.05%
Other AI Markets
19 markets · $5.0K 24h volBy Aug 31, 2026Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?By Aug 31, 2026Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?By Aug 31, 2026Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?By Aug 31, 2026Will Claude go down 14+ times in August?By Dec 31, 2026Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2027 (ET)?By Dec 31, 2027Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)?
39.80%+151
59.00%-144
80.50%-413
8.50%+1076
56.50%-130
0.15%
0.70%
18.50%+441
0.05%
11.50%+770
4.15%+2310
0.50%
0.45%
0.75%
2.35%+4155
2.15%+4551
4.40%+2173
0.15%
0.15%
Model Releases
4 markets · $2.4K 24h volBy Aug 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?
11.50%+770
86.50%-641
94.50%-1718
98.50%
Benchmark & Leaderboard Scores
7 markets · $1.5K 24h volBy Aug 31, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
97.65%-4155
65.00%-186
69.00%-223
32.00%+212
54.50%-120
56.00%-127
46.50%+115
Frequently Asked Questions
Where do these Claude / Anthropic odds come from?
Real, live prices from Polymarket — the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on each question, aggregated automatically by real question text, not manually curated.
How often are these odds updated?
This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule.
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