AI · Polymarket
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Trade on Polymarket →0.05%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 99.95% on "Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?", backed by $214 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $214
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
—
Mid Price
—
Total Depth (shown levels)
$25,400
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
Asks (Sell)
0.1¢112
1.0¢118
1.1¢124
1.2¢16
1.9¢50
2.8¢5
2.9¢110
3.0¢50
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
9.73¢+9629.38%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
49.75¢+49650.48%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
90.45¢+90352.90%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar AI Markets
Manifold14.86%+573
[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2027?
14.86%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 421 Mana
Manifold58.12%-139
Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
58.12%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 334 Mana
Manifold54.75%-121
Anthropic has a profitable quarter in 2027?
54.75%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 10 Mana
Manifold77.84%-351
OpenAI ChatGPT Astra publicly available in September 2026?
77.84%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 8 Mana
Manifold50.00%-100
1 month after Anthropic IPO, will their market cap be higher than launch day?
50.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 0 Mana
Limitless50.00%-100
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
50.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $27.3K
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.05%, based on $214 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.