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College Football National Championship Odds

Real, live title odds for every College Football team, sourced directly from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, — not a sportsbook. Updated continuously as real money trades. Where available, we also show a real Manifold (play-money) comparison alongside it.

$18.3M in real volume traded across 50 live college football national championship contractsLive as of 4:59 PM

Market Composition

Market total: 134.0%

Each team's real share of the field right now — segment width is that team's probability relative to every other live contract combined, not a raw percentage of the bar. Hover a segment for the exact number.

Ohio State Buckeyes 12.50%Notre Dame Fighting Irish 12.50%Texas Longhorns 11.50%Oregon Ducks 10.50%Indiana Hoosiers 9.50%Georgia Bulldogs 9.50%Miami (FL) 7.50%LSU Tigers 5.50%+38 more
#TeamLive Title Odds
1Ohio State Buckeyes
12.5%
+700
2Notre Dame Fighting Irish
12.5%
+700
3Texas Longhorns
11.5%
+770
4Oregon Ducks
10.5%
+852
5Indiana Hoosiers
9.5%
+953
6Georgia Bulldogs
9.5%
+953
7Miami (FL)
7.5%
+1233
8LSU Tigers
5.5%
+1718
9Texas Tech Red Raiders
3.5%
+2757
10Alabama Crimson Tide
3.5%
+2757
11Texas A&M Aggies
2.5%
+3900
12Oklahoma Sooners
2.5%
+3900
13Ole Miss Rebels
2.5%
+3900
14Michigan Wolverines
2.5%
+3900
15USC Trojans
1.5%
16Tennessee Volunteers
1.5%
17Penn State Nittany Lions
1.5%
18Florida
1.5%
19Utah Utes
1.0%
20Auburn
1.0%
21Missouri Tigers
1.0%
22BYU Cougars
1.0%
23Washington Huskies
1.0%
24Iowa Hawkeyes
1.0%
25Virginia
1.0%
26Clemson Tigers
1.0%
27Vanderbilt
1.0%
28SMU Mustangs
1.0%
29Louisville
1.0%
30Florida St.
1.0%
31Arizona
1.0%
32South Carolina
1.0%
33Arkansas
1.0%
34Georgia Tech
1.0%
35Pittsburgh
1.0%
36Kansas St.
1.0%
37Baylor
1.0%
38Kentucky
1.0%
39California
1.0%
40Illinois
1.0%
41TCU
1.0%
42Virginia Tech
1.0%
43Arizona St.
1.0%
44Oklahoma St.
1.0%
45Houston Cougars
1.0%
46North Carolina St.
1.0%
47North Texas
1.0%
48Tulane
1.0%
49James Madison
1.0%
50Miami (OH)
1.0%

Odds Over Time

Real daily odds for every team that's cracked the top 5 — one recorded point per real day this page's data has been tracked, no interpolation across gaps.

Ohio St.Notre DameTexasOregonGeorgia
Wed 12Thu 13Fri 14Sat 15Aug 16Mon 17Tue 18Wed 19Thu 20Fri 21Sat 22Aug 23Mon 24Tue 25Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 294681012141618%13.00%OHIO ST.13.00%NOTRE DAME12.00%TEXAS11.00%OREGON10.00%GEORGIA

Longest Shots

The lowest-priced real contracts on the board right now.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win the College Football National Championship?

As of the latest update, Ohio State Buckeyes is favored at 12.50%, based on real live trading on Kalshi.

Where do these college football national championship odds come from?

Real, live prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, — not a sportsbook line. Each percentage is the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on that team winning, which is why it can be read directly as a probability.

How often are these odds updated?

This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule the way a sportsbook line update has.

Are the Ohio State Buckeyes favored to win the College Football National Championship?

Yes — the Ohio State Buckeyes are currently the favorite at 12.50%, the highest live title probability of any team.

Are the Notre Dame Fighting Irish favored to win the College Football National Championship?

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are currently priced at 12.50% to win the College Football National Championship, behind the current favorite, the Ohio State Buckeyes, at 12.50%.

Are the Texas Longhorns favored to win the College Football National Championship?

The Texas Longhorns are currently priced at 11.50% to win the College Football National Championship, behind the current favorite, the Ohio State Buckeyes, at 12.50%.

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