Entertainment Markets
Real, live probabilities for film, TV, and music questions — aggregated across every platform we track.
2027 Oscars Odds — every category, nominee by nomineeView →Kalshi · 18Manifold · 6Futuur · 4
Probability Distribution
Kalshi▼ 1.50
27.5%+264
Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?
27.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $7.0K
+29 more
Kalshi▼ 0.50
2.5%+3900
Will Idris Elba be the next James Bond?
2.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $3.3K
+29 more
Kalshi▼ 0.50
1.5%
Will Robert Pattinson be the next James Bond?
1.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $3.1K
+29 more
Kalshi▼ 0.50
4.5%+2122
Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?
4.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $1.6K
+29 more
Kalshi▼ 0.50
70.5%-239
Will Slightly Stoopid perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?
70.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $985
Kalshi▼ 1.50
15.5%+545
Will Rufus Du Sol perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?
15.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $699
Kalshi▼ 0.50
25.5%+292
Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?
25.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $677
+29 more
Kalshi▼ 0.50
55.5%-125
Will ILLENIUM perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?
55.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $645
Kalshi▼ 11.50
13.5%+641
Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?
13.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $600
Kalshi▼ 0.50
10.5%+852
Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?
10.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $593
+29 more
Kalshi▼ 0.50
1.5%
Will Henry Cavill be the next James Bond?
1.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $559
+29 more
Kalshi▼ 0.50
57.5%-135
Will Gregory Alan Isakov perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?
57.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $510
Kalshi▼ 0.50
71.5%-251
Will The String Cheese Incident perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?
71.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $475
Kalshi▼ 0.50
1.5%
Will Nicholas Hoult be the next James Bond?
1.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $468
+29 more
Kalshi▲ 0.50
27.5%+264
Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond?
27.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $218
+29 more
Kalshi▲ 3.00
24.0%+317
Blinding Lights — What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch?
24.0%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $206
+13 more
Kalshi▼ 11.50
16.5%+506
XO Tour Llif3 — What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch?
16.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $201
+13 moreFutuur
95.00%-1900
Above 40 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score
95.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $194
Futuur
94.00%-1567
Above 60 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score
94.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $194
Futuur
80.00%-400
Above 80 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score
80.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $194
Futuur
50.00%-100
Above 90 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score
50.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $194
Kalshi▲ 3.50
22.5%+344
Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
22.5%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $130
Manifold39.57%+153
Will The Odyssey ever surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day in daily domestic box office gross during their initial runs?
39.57%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 904 Mana
Manifold20.00%+400
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)
20.00%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 125 Mana
See all 28 Entertainment markets →
Frequently Asked Questions
What kinds of entertainment markets does PredictRankd track?
Film, TV, and music questions — every real, live contract tagged Entertainment across Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, and Futuur, currently 28 live markets. Oscar-specific nominee odds get their own dedicated hub at /awards.
Where are the Oscars odds?
The 99th Academy Awards get their own dedicated hub with real, live Kalshi odds broken down by category and nominee, plus a cross-platform Polymarket comparison — see the link above.
How often do these odds update?
This page polls live prices automatically every 90 seconds.
Which platform has the most Entertainment markets right now?
Right now, Kalshi has the most live Entertainment markets we track (18), followed by Manifold (6), Futuur (4).



