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Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →

Entertainment Markets

Real, live probabilities for film, TV, and music questions — aggregated across every platform we track.

2027 Oscars Odds — every category, nominee by nomineeView →
Kalshi · 18Manifold · 6Futuur · 4

Probability Distribution

0-10%: 5 markets10-20%: 5 markets20-30%: 6 markets30-40%: 1 market40-50%: 3 markets50-60%: 3 markets60-70%: 0 markets70-80%: 2 markets80-90%: 1 market90-100%: 2 markets
0%28 markets · median 27%100%
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 1.50
27.5%+264

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

27.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $7.0K
+29 more
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
2.5%+3900

Will Idris Elba be the next James Bond?

2.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $3.3K
+29 more
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
1.5%

Will Robert Pattinson be the next James Bond?

1.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $3.1K
+29 more
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
4.5%+2122

Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?

4.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $1.6K
+29 more
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
70.5%-239

Will Slightly Stoopid perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

70.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $985
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 1.50
15.5%+545

Will Rufus Du Sol perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

15.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $699
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
25.5%+292

Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?

25.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $677
+29 more
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
55.5%-125

Will ILLENIUM perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

55.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $645
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 11.50
13.5%+641

Will the next James Bond be released in the USA before Jul 1, 2027?

13.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $600
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
10.5%+852

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

10.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $593
+29 more
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
1.5%

Will Henry Cavill be the next James Bond?

1.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $559
+29 more
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
57.5%-135

Will Gregory Alan Isakov perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

57.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $510
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
71.5%-251

Will The String Cheese Incident perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

71.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $475
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 0.50
1.5%

Will Nicholas Hoult be the next James Bond?

1.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $468
+29 more
Kalshi logoKalshi
▲ 0.50
27.5%+264

Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond?

27.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $218
+29 more
Kalshi logoKalshi
▲ 3.00
24.0%+317

Blinding Lights — What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch?

24.0%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $206
+13 more
Kalshi logoKalshi
▼ 11.50
16.5%+506

XO Tour Llif3 — What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch?

16.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $201
+13 more
Futuur
95.00%-1900

Above 40 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score

95.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $194
Futuur
94.00%-1567

Above 60 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score

94.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $194
Futuur
80.00%-400

Above 80 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score

80.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $194
Futuur
50.00%-100

Above 90 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score

50.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $194
Kalshi logoKalshi
▲ 3.50
22.5%+344

Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

22.5%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $130
Manifold logoManifold
39.57%+153

Will The Odyssey ever surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day in daily domestic box office gross during their initial runs?

39.57%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 904 Mana
Manifold logoManifold
20.00%+400

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)

20.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 125 Mana

See all 28 Entertainment markets →

Frequently Asked Questions

What kinds of entertainment markets does PredictRankd track?

Film, TV, and music questions — every real, live contract tagged Entertainment across Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, and Futuur, currently 28 live markets. Oscar-specific nominee odds get their own dedicated hub at /awards.

Where are the Oscars odds?

The 99th Academy Awards get their own dedicated hub with real, live Kalshi odds broken down by category and nominee, plus a cross-platform Polymarket comparison — see the link above.

How often do these odds update?

This page polls live prices automatically every 90 seconds.

Which platform has the most Entertainment markets right now?

Right now, Kalshi has the most live Entertainment markets we track (18), followed by Manifold (6), Futuur (4).