Every Live Market

Real, live consensus probabilities from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, and Limitless — one place to see every active contract we track, from elections and Fed rate decisions to Oscar winners and NFL odds.

Every Live Market

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?

Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Michael win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond?

Will Jafar Jackson win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Widespread Panic perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Will Henry Cavill be the next James Bond?

Will Paul Mescal be the next James Bond?

Will Damson Idris be the next James Bond?

Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?

Will Dua Lipa be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Will Parker Posey win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

Will Tom Blyth be the next James Bond?

Will The Avett Brothers perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the Oscars?

Will Theo James be the next James Bond?

Will Werwulf win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Will SWIM be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?

Will Miley Cyrus be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

Will Obsession win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Will Elder Scrolls VI be released before 2027?

Will Olivia Rodrigo be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the Oscars?

Will Big Head Todd and the Monsters perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?

Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the Oscars?

Will Olivia Rodrigo be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars?

Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?

Will Robert Pattison win Best Actor at the Oscars?

All of a Sudden — 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?

Will ROSALÍA be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

Above 40 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score

Above 60 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score

Above 80 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score

Above 90 — "Dune: Part Three" · Rotten Tomatoes score

"Crawl" command available in GTA 6? — "Crawl" command available in GTA 6?

Will The Odyssey ever surpass Spider-Man: Brand New Day in daily domestic box office gross during their initial runs?

Will a playable build of Grand Theft Auto VI leak before November 1, 2026?

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)

Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi