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Entertainment · Kalshi

Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the Oscars?

Trade on Kalshi →
18.50%
12.79% fee-adjusted
Jun 07Jun 14Jun 21Jun 28Jul 05Jul 12Jul 19Jul 26Aug 02Aug 09Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30Sep 06Sep 130102030405060%17.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 21.0% in 14d (14.7–29.0%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$750
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Other Real Candidates — 23 Total

Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.

Matt Damon
26.50%
Tom Cruise
20.50%
John MalkovichViewing
18.50%
Andrew Scott
18.00%
Robert Pattison
13.50%
Charles Melton
6.00%
Timothée Chalamet
5.50%
Jeremy Strong
4.50%
Ryan Gosling
3.50%
Pedro Pascal
2.00%
Sebastian Stan
1.50%
Josh O'Connor
1.00%
Channing Tatum
1.00%
Keanu Reeves
1.00%
Adam Driver
1.00%
Brad Pitt
1.00%
Tie
1.00%
Hanns Zischler
1.00%
Jafar Jackson
1.00%
Sacha Baron Cohen
1.00%
Jacob Tremblay
1.00%
Ethan Hawke
1.00%
Tom Holland
1.00%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the Oscars?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 18.50%, based on $750 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2027, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.