2027 Oscars Odds
Real, live prediction-market odds for the 99th Academy Awards. Click a category to see every nominee's live win probability.
The Odyssey
leads the real Best Picture field at 58.50%
The Big Six
Below-the-Line & Specialty Categories
Every percentage on this page is a real, live contract price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange — not a critics' poll, a bookmaker's opening line, or a model's guess. Traders are putting real money on each outcome, so the price reflects the market's actual current consensus, updated continuously.
Frequently Asked Questions
When are the 2027 Oscars?
The 99th Academy Awards ceremony is expected in March 2027, honoring films released in 2026. Nominee markets open on Kalshi ahead of the official nominations announcement and stay live through the ceremony.
How are these Oscar odds different from expert predictions?
Awards-season pundits publish a personal forecast; these numbers are the price real traders are actually paying, right now, to bet on each nominee winning. That means the odds move continuously as new information (reviews, guild wins, precursor awards) reaches the market — not on a critic's publishing schedule.
Which categories does PredictRankd track?
All 19 competitive Oscar categories with a real, live Kalshi market — from Best Picture down to Best Sound — plus a cross-platform check against Polymarket's own Oscars markets where available.