Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress
Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress
Live Win Probability
± margin = real Kalshi bid/ask spread| Nominee | Probability | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
Mariana di Girolamo | 11.0% ±3.0pt | 8.10% |
Sandra Hüller | 10.0% ±2.0pt | 7.55% |
Inde Navarrette | 7.0% ±1.0pt | 5.00% |
Zendaya | 6.0% ±2.0pt | 6.00% |
Parker Posey | 3.5% ±2.5pt | 6.50% |
Margaret Qualley | 2.5% ±1.5pt | 3.95% |
Betty Gilpin | 2.5% ±1.5pt | 6.50% (±4.0pt) |
Gemma Chan | 2.5% ±1.5pt | 3.25% |
Isabella Rossellini | 1.0% | 3.50% |
Danielle Deadwyler | 1.0% | 3.40% |
Tao Okamoto | 1.0% | 5.85% (±4.8pt) |
Tie | 1.0% | — |
Odds from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
Odds Over Time
Odds-history tracking for another actress started today — check back as more days of real data accumulate.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Best Supporting Actress?
As of the latest update, another actress is favored at 50.00%, based on real live trading on Kalshi.
Where do these best supporting actress odds come from?
Real, live prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange — not a sportsbook line or a critics' poll. Each percentage is the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on that nominee winning, which is why it can be read directly as a probability.
How often are these odds updated?
This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule the way a pundit's ranked predictions have.
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