Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography
Oscar Winner: Best Cinematography
Live Win Probability
± margin = real Kalshi bid/ask spread| Nominee | Probability | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
Obsession | 5.0% | 0.25% (±4.8pt) |
Project Hail Mary | 4.5% ±0.5pt | 12.10% (±7.6pt) |
The Adventures of Cliff Booth | 0.0% | 2.80% |
Digger | 0.0% | 1.95% |
Josephine | 0.0% | 0.15% |
Fatherland | 0.0% | 0.55% |
The Whisper Man | 0.0% | 0.15% |
Werwulf | 0.0% | 3.55% (±3.5pt) |
Tie | 0.0% | — |
Odds from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Best Cinematography?
As of the latest update, The Odyssey is favored at 57.50%, based on real live trading on Kalshi.
Where do these best cinematography odds come from?
Real, live prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange — not a sportsbook line or a critics' poll. Each percentage is the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on that nominee winning, which is why it can be read directly as a probability.
How often are these odds updated?
This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule the way a pundit's ranked predictions have.
Other Categories
Best PictureBest DirectorBest ActorBest ActressBest Supporting ActorBest Supporting ActressBest Animated FeatureBest International FeatureBest Documentary FeatureBest Original SongBest Original ScoreBest SoundBest Visual EffectsBest Costume DesignBest Production DesignBest Film EditingBest Adapted ScreenplayBest Original Screenplay