How many governor races are Democratic vs. Republican favored?

As of the latest build, 24 governor races are Democratic-favored, 23 are Republican-favored, and 0 are real toss-ups (favored side under 55%) — based on real, live Kalshi contract prices across 47 tracked states.

Where does this election data come from?

Real, live contract prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange — each state's governor race collapses two real party contracts (Democratic and Republican) into whichever side is currently favored, not a poll average or a model.

How often are these odds updated?

This page is rebuilt on every deploy from live Kalshi prices; the live /elections page in your browser polls automatically and updates continuously between deploys.

Election Forecasts

Real, live prediction-market odds for the 2028 Presidential race, 2026 midterm control of Congress, and every state's Governor and US House race. Click a state to see every local race.

Election Forecasts

2028 Presidential Election — Live Odds

Will Jasmine Crockett be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Beto O'Rourke be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will Dwayne Johnson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Amy Klobuchar be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

Will Nicki Minaj be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

2026 Midterms — Who Controls Congress

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Democratic Party — Which party will control the House after the midterm elections?

Republican Party — Which party will control the House after the midterm elections?

Democratic Party — Which party will control the Senate after the midterm elections?

Republican Party — Which party will control the Senate after the midterm elections?

Governor Race Forecast — Live by State

Governor & US House Races — Every Tracked State