Skip to content
Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Politics · Polymarket

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Trade on Polymarket →
11.50%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 1368101214161820%11.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 11.2% in 14d (10.5–11.9%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$113.5K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (8.7%)
Mid Price
11.5¢
Total Depth
$2,987,613
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
11.0¢595
10.0¢8,610
9.0¢19,477
8.0¢9,630
7.0¢2,163
6.0¢10,510
5.0¢12,663
4.0¢5,875
Asks (Sell)
12.0¢9,379
13.0¢14,076
14.0¢28,218
15.0¢309,275
16.0¢2,710
17.0¢2,461
18.0¢6,070
19.0¢5,059
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
12.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
12.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
13.83¢+15.26%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldDemocrats win Alaska and Michigan US Senate elections in 2026?
50.80%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 11.50%, based on $113.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 3, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.