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Politics · Polymarket

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Trade on Polymarket →
88.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 158082848688909294%88.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 89.0% in 14d (88.3–89.6%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$31.5K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
88.5¢
Total Depth
$4,519,776
Bid/Ask Imbalance
7% bid
Bids (Buy)
88.0¢44,971
87.0¢20,264
86.0¢44,768
85.0¢143,888
84.0¢17,162
82.0¢1,020
80.0¢250
79.0¢500
Asks (Sell)
89.0¢8,363
90.0¢66,885
91.0¢53,676
92.0¢2,191,825
93.0¢1,069
94.0¢4,111
95.0¢12,583
96.0¢7,795
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
89.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
89.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
89.25¢+0.28%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

PredictItWhich party will control the Senate after the 2026 election?: Democratic
48.50%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 88.50%, based on $31.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 3, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.