Stanley Cup Odds
Real, live title odds for every NHL team, sourced directly from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, — not a sportsbook. Updated continuously as real money trades. Where available, we also show a real Manifold (play-money) comparison alongside it.
$1.2M in real volume traded across 32 live stanley cup contractsLive as of 11:34 PM
Market Composition
Market total: 108.0%Each team's real share of the field right now — segment width is that team's probability relative to every other live contract combined, not a raw percentage of the bar. Hover a segment for the exact number.
| # | Team | Live Title Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Panthers | 11.5% +7701D▼0.50 |
| 2 | Colorado Avalanche | 10.5% +8521D▲0.50 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes | 8.5% +10761D▼1.50 |
| 4 |  Edmonton Oilers | 7.5% +12331D▼0.50 |
| 5 |  Tampa Bay Lightning | 6.5% +14381D▼0.50 |
| 6 |  Vegas Golden Knights | 6.0% +15671D▼2.00 |
| 7 |  Dallas Stars | 5.5% +1718 |
| 8 |  Minnesota Wild | 5.0% +1900 |
| 9 |  Washington Capitals | 4.5% +2122 |
| 10 | Montréal Canadiens | 4.0% +2400 |
| 11 |  San Jose Sharks | 4.0% +2400 |
| 12 |  Buffalo Sabres | 3.5% +2757 |
| 13 |  New Jersey Devils | 3.5% +2757 |
| 14 |  Anaheim Ducks | 2.5% +3900 |
| 15 |  Utah Mammoth | 2.5% +3900 |
| 16 |  Toronto Maple Leafs | 2.5% +3900 |
| 17 |  Los Angeles Kings | 2.0% +4900 |
| 18 |  Boston Bruins | 1.5% |
| 19 |  Columbus Blue Jackets | 1.5% |
| 20 |  New York Rangers | 1.5% |
| 21 |  Ottawa Senators | 1.5% |
| 22 |  Philadelphia Flyers | 1.5% |
| 23 |  Pittsburgh Penguins | 1.5% |
| 24 |  Calgary Flames | 1.0% |
| 25 |  Chicago Blackhawks | 1.0% |
| 26 |  Detroit Red Wings | 1.0% |
| 27 |  Nashville Predators | 1.0% |
| 28 |  New York Islanders | 1.0% |
| 29 |  Seattle Kraken | 1.0% |
| 30 |  St. Louis Blues | 1.0% |
| 31 |  Vancouver Canucks | 1.0% |
| 32 |  Winnipeg Jets | 1.0% |
Florida Panthers Forecast
Holding steadyA real trend line fit to Florida Panthers's own recent real daily odds, projected forward with a confidence band that widens the further out it looks — a mechanical statistical read on the real data, not a claim to know what happens next. See "How to read championship futures odds" below for the honest limits of any forecast like this.
Odds Over Time
Real daily odds for every team that's cracked the top 5 — one recorded point per real day this page's data has been tracked, no interpolation across gaps.
Florida PanthersCarolina HurricanesColorado AvalancheEdmonton OilersTampa Bay LightningVegas Golden KnightsLongest Shots
The lowest-priced real contracts on the board right now.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win the Stanley Cup?
As of the latest update, Florida Panthers is favored at 11.50%, based on real live trading on Kalshi.
Where do these stanley cup odds come from?
Real, live prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, — not a sportsbook line. Each percentage is the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on that team winning, which is why it can be read directly as a probability.
How often are these odds updated?
This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule the way a sportsbook line update has.
Are the Florida Panthers favored to win the Stanley Cup?
Yes — the Florida Panthers are currently the favorite at 11.50%, the highest live title probability of any team.
Are the Colorado Avalanche favored to win the Stanley Cup?
The Colorado Avalanche are currently priced at 10.50% to win the Stanley Cup, behind the current favorite, the Florida Panthers, at 11.50%.
Are the Carolina Hurricanes favored to win the Stanley Cup?
The Carolina Hurricanes are currently priced at 8.50% to win the Stanley Cup, behind the current favorite, the Florida Panthers, at 11.50%.
NHL Standings
The real, official current record — distinct from the live market odds above on who's favored to win.
Eastern Conference
Carolina Hurricanes53-22Buffalo Sabres50-23
Montreal Canadiens48-24Tampa Bay Lightning50-26Boston Bruins45-27Pittsburgh Penguins41-25Ottawa Senators44-27Philadelphia Flyers43-27Washington Capitals43-30Columbus Blue Jackets40-30Detroit Red Wings41-31New York Islanders43-34New Jersey Devils42-37Florida Panthers40-38Toronto Maple Leafs32-36New York Rangers34-39Western Conference
Colorado Avalanche55-16Dallas Stars50-20Minnesota Wild46-24Vegas Golden Knights39-26Edmonton Oilers41-30
Utah Mammoth43-33Anaheim Ducks43-33Los Angeles Kings35-27St. Louis Blues37-33Nashville Predators38-34San Jose Sharks39-35Winnipeg Jets35-35Seattle Kraken34-37Calgary Flames34-39Chicago Blackhawks29-39Vancouver Canucks25-49Other Championships
← All live NHL marketsHow to read championship futures odds →