F1 Drivers' Championship Odds

Q: Who is favored to win the F1 Drivers' Championship?

As of the latest build, Andrea Kimi Antonelli is favored at 76%, based on real live trading on Kalshi.

Q: Are the Lando Norris favored to win the F1 Drivers' Championship?

The Lando Norris are currently priced at 10% to win the F1 Drivers' Championship, behind the current favorite, the Andrea Kimi Antonelli, at 76%.

Q: Are the Lewis Hamilton favored to win the F1 Drivers' Championship?

The Lewis Hamilton are currently priced at 8% to win the F1 Drivers' Championship, behind the current favorite, the Andrea Kimi Antonelli, at 76%.

Real, live title odds for every Formula 1 team, sourced directly from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, — not a sportsbook. Updated continuously as real money trades.

$8.1M in real volume traded across 22 live f1 drivers' championship contractsLive as of 10:19 PM

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Market Composition

Market total: 117.5%

Each team's real share of the field right now — segment width is that team's probability relative to every other live contract combined, not a raw percentage of the bar. Hover a segment for the exact number.

Andrea Kimi Antonelli 75.50%Lando Norris 9.50%Lewis Hamilton 7.50%George Russell 6.50%Charles Leclerc 1.50%Max Verstappen 1.00%Oscar Piastri 1.00%Arvid Lindblad 1.00%+10 more

#	Team	Live Title Odds	Polymarket
1	Andrea Kimi Antonelli	75.5% -308	—
2	Lando Norris	9.5% +953	—
3	Lewis Hamilton	7.5% +1233	—
4	George Russell	6.5% +1438	—
5	Charles Leclerc	1.5%	—
6	Max Verstappen	1.0%	—
7	Oscar Piastri	1.0%	—
8	Arvid Lindblad	1.0%	—
9	Fernando Alonso	1.0%	—
10	Pierre Gasly	1.0%	—
11	Carlos Sainz Jr.	1.0%	—
12	Oliver Bearman	1.0%	—
13	Esteban Ocon	1.0%	—
14	Alexander Albon	1.0%	—
15	Isack Hadjar	1.0%	—
16	Franco Colapinto	1.0%	—
17	Nico Hulkenberg	1.0%	—
18	Gabriel Bortoleto	1.0%	—
19	Lance Stroll	1.0%	—
20	Liam Lawson	1.0%	—
21	Sergio Perez	1.0%	—
22	Valtteri Bottas	1.0%	—

Path to the F1 Drivers' Championship

Constructors Championship LeaderMercedes AMG Motorsport90.00%

F1 Drivers' Championship FavoriteAndrea Kimi Antonelli75.50%

Real Constructors Championship Odds

A separate, real Kalshi market — who wins the Constructors before advancing to the F1 Drivers' Championship.

KalshiPoly

Mercedes AMG Motorsport

90.0%-900—

9.5%+953—

2.5%+3900—

1.0%—

1.0%—

1.0%—

1.0%—

1.0%—

Odds Over Time

This chart fills in as the season progresses — check back once a few real daily snapshots have accumulated for the f1 drivers' championship.

Longest Shots

The lowest-priced real contracts on the board right now.

Max Verstappen1.00%Oscar Piastri1.00%Arvid Lindblad1.00%

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win the F1 Drivers' Championship?

As of the latest update, Andrea Kimi Antonelli is favored at 75.50%, based on real live trading on Kalshi.

Where do these f1 drivers' championship odds come from?

Real, live prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, — not a sportsbook line. Each percentage is the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on that team winning, which is why it can be read directly as a probability.

How often are these odds updated?

This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule the way a sportsbook line update has.

Are the Andrea Kimi Antonelli favored to win the F1 Drivers' Championship?

Yes — the Andrea Kimi Antonelli are currently the favorite at 75.50%, the highest live title probability of any team.

Are the Lando Norris favored to win the F1 Drivers' Championship?

The Lando Norris are currently priced at 9.50% to win the F1 Drivers' Championship, behind the current favorite, the Andrea Kimi Antonelli, at 75.50%.

Are the Lewis Hamilton favored to win the F1 Drivers' Championship?

The Lewis Hamilton are currently priced at 7.50% to win the F1 Drivers' Championship, behind the current favorite, the Andrea Kimi Antonelli, at 75.50%.