Premier League Winner Odds
Real, live title odds for every Soccer team, sourced directly from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, — not a sportsbook. Updated continuously as real money trades. Where available, we also show a real Manifold (play-money) comparison alongside it.
$2.4M in real volume traded across 20 live premier league winner contractsLive as of 7:22 PM
Market Composition
Market total: 117.0%Each team's real share of the field right now — segment width is that team's probability relative to every other live contract combined, not a raw percentage of the bar. Hover a segment for the exact number.
| # | Team | Live Title Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 51.5% -1061D▲0.50 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 22.5% +344 |
| 3 |  Chelsea | 17.5% +471 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 5.5% +1718 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 4.5% +2122 |
| 6 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 1.5% |
| 7 |  Aston Villa | 1.0% |
| 8 |  Brentford | 1.0% |
| 9 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 1.0% |
| 10 |  Coventry City | 1.0% |
| 11 |  Crystal Palace | 1.0% |
| 12 |  Everton | 1.0% |
| 13 |  Fulham | 1.0% |
| 14 |  Hull City | 1.0% |
| 15 |  Ipswich Town | 1.0% |
| 16 |  Leeds United | 1.0% |
| 17 |  Newcastle United | 1.0% |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 1.0% |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 1.0% |
| 20 |  AFC Bournemouth | 1.0% |
Path to the Premier League Winner
Barcelona18.50%Arsenal51.50%Real Champions League Winner Odds
A separate, real Kalshi market — who wins the Champions League Winner before advancing to the Premier League Winner.
Odds Over Time
Real daily odds for every team that's cracked the top 5 — one recorded point per real day this page's data has been tracked, no interpolation across gaps.
ArsenalAnother TeamLongest Shots
The lowest-priced real contracts on the board right now.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win the Premier League Winner?
As of the latest update, Arsenal is favored at 51.50%, based on real live trading on Kalshi.
Where do these premier league winner odds come from?
Real, live prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, — not a sportsbook line. Each percentage is the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on that team winning, which is why it can be read directly as a probability.
How often are these odds updated?
This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule the way a sportsbook line update has.
Are the Arsenal favored to win the Premier League Winner?
Yes — the Arsenal are currently the favorite at 51.50%, the highest live title probability of any team.
Are the Manchester City favored to win the Premier League Winner?
The Manchester City are currently priced at 22.50% to win the Premier League Winner, behind the current favorite, the Arsenal, at 51.50%.
Are the Chelsea favored to win the Premier League Winner?
The Chelsea are currently priced at 17.50% to win the Premier League Winner, behind the current favorite, the Arsenal, at 51.50%.
Premier League Standings
The real, official current record — distinct from the live market odds above on who's favored to win.
Manchester City2-0Hull City2-0Chelsea2-0Arsenal1-0Brentford1-1-0Newcastle United1-1-0Everton1-1-0Leeds United1-1-0Brighton & Hove Albion1-1Manchester United1-1Sunderland1-1Ipswich Town1-1Liverpool0-2-0AFC Bournemouth0-1-1Nottingham Forest0-1-1Fulham0-2Aston Villa0-1Coventry City0-2Crystal Palace0-2Tottenham Hotspur0-2Other Championships
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