Meta AI / Llama
Real, live prediction-market odds on Meta and Llama — model releases, benchmark results, and model-leadership odds.
21
Live markets tracked
$12.3K
Real 24h volume
2
Categories active
Vs. The Field — Best AI Model by August 2026
1Anthropic
99.60%
2OpenAI
0.35%
3Google
0.10%
4ByteDance
0.05%
5xAI
0.05%
6Z.ai
0.05%
Meta has no live contract in this specific race right now — shown for comparison against the labs that do.
Not enough archived history yet for a trend chart — 6 real days recorded, 7 required. Check back as more days record.
★ Model Rankings (Best AI Model/Lab)
15 markets · $8.5K 24h volBy Sep 30, 2026Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?By Oct 31, 2026Will Meta have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
0.15%
98.35%
93.50%-1438
6.35%+1475
1.50%
28.00%+257
1.95%
2.55%+3822
1.55%
2.80%+3471
39.00%+156
1.30%
38.50%+160
1.65%
2.95%+3290
Benchmark & Leaderboard Scores
6 markets · $3.8K 24h volBy Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?
26.50%+277
45.50%+120
12.00%+733
0.30%
0.50%
1.20%
Frequently Asked Questions
Where do these Meta AI / Llama odds come from?
Real, live prices from Polymarket — the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on each question, aggregated automatically by real question text, not manually curated.
How often are these odds updated?
This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule.
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