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Culture · Polymarket

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Trade on Polymarket →
25.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 1351015202530354045505560%25.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 27.2% in 14d (21.4–33.9%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$7.5K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.9%)
Mid Price
25.5¢
Total Depth
$1,861
Bid/Ask Imbalance
20% bid
Bids (Buy)
25.0¢316
24.0¢323
23.0¢42
22.0¢30
21.0¢40
18.0¢79
17.0¢47
16.0¢110
Asks (Sell)
26.0¢264
27.0¢300
28.0¢344
29.0¢800
36.0¢11
37.0¢13
38.0¢100
41.0¢46
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
26.31¢+1.18%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
36.66¢+40.99%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
44.54¢+71.32%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 25.50%, based on $7.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.