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Culture · Polymarket

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
29.00%
AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 2901020304050607080%29.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$37.2K

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (6.9%)
Mid Price
29.0¢
Total Depth
$23,344
Bid/Ask Imbalance
15% bid
Bids (Buy)
28.0¢50
27.0¢825
26.0¢4,191
25.0¢5,333
23.0¢65
20.0¢205
15.0¢31
14.0¢60
Asks (Sell)
30.0¢30
31.0¢31
32.0¢414
33.0¢451
34.0¢171
39.0¢270
40.0¢128
41.0¢304
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
31.71¢+5.70%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
42.73¢+42.45%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
79.18¢+163.95%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill Mohan Bhagwat be taken into custody by a U.S. government authority in New York City before August 31, 2026?
8.05%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 29.00%, based on $37.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around August 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.