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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
22.45%
12 PMAug 2312 PMMon 2412 PMTue 2512 PMWed 2612 PMThu 2712 PMFri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PM05101520253035%21.65%

Stats

24h Volume
$86.9K

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.5¢ (2.3%)
Mid Price
21.6¢
Total Depth
$318,305
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
21.4¢102
21.3¢30
21.2¢90
21.1¢80
20.8¢80
19.6¢15
19.5¢5
19.4¢5
Asks (Sell)
21.9¢22
23.1¢10
23.2¢40
23.5¢10
23.6¢30
23.7¢87
23.8¢100
23.9¢9
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
23.66¢+8.03%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
26.37¢+20.40%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
30.52¢+39.36%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 22.45%, based on $86.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.