Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?
Trade on Manifold →Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "No" at 65.13% on "Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?", backed by 28 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 28 Mana
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 34.87%, based on 28 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.