AGI & the Singularity

Real, live odds on when — or whether — artificial general intelligence and the singularity actually arrive.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Where do these AGI & the Singularity odds come from?

Real, live prices from Polymarket — the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on each question, aggregated automatically by real question text, not manually curated.

How often are these odds updated?

This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule.