Gemini / Google DeepMind
Real, live prediction-market odds on Google DeepMind and Gemini — model releases, benchmark results, and model-leadership odds.
65
Live markets tracked
$52.0K
Real 24h volume
3
Categories active
Best AI Model — By August 2026
Full Leaderboard →0.10%
Real, live odds Google has the single best AI model by the end of August 2026, based on real trading — not app downloads or usage share, which no platform we track publishes.
Vs. The Field — Best AI Model by August 2026
1Anthropic
99.60%
2OpenAI
0.35%
3Google
0.10%
4ByteDance
0.05%
5xAI
0.05%
6Z.ai
0.05%
Not enough archived history yet for a trend chart — 6 real days recorded, 7 required. Check back as more days record.
★ Model Releases
39 markets · $29.6K 24h volBy Aug 31, 2026Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?By Sep 1, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026?By Sep 2, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 2, 2026?By Sep 3, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 3, 2026?By Sep 4, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 4, 2026?By Sep 5, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 5, 2026?By Sep 6, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 6, 2026?By Sep 7, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 7, 2026?By Sep 8, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 8, 2026?By Sep 9, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 9, 2026?By Sep 10, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 10, 2026?By Sep 11, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 11, 2026?By Sep 12, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 12, 2026?By Sep 13, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 13, 2026?By Sep 14, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 14, 2026?By Sep 15, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?By Sep 15, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 15, 2026?By Sep 15, 2026Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?By Sep 16, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 16, 2026?By Sep 17, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026?By Sep 18, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 18, 2026?By Sep 19, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 19, 2026?By Sep 20, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 20, 2026?By Sep 21, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 21, 2026?By Sep 22, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 22, 2026?By Sep 23, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 23, 2026?By Sep 24, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 24, 2026?By Sep 25, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 25, 2026?By Sep 26, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 26, 2026?By Sep 27, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 27, 2026?By Sep 28, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 28, 2026?By Sep 29, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 29, 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?By Nov 30, 2026Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?
0.15%
1.60%
0.30%
2.40%+4067
0.50%
0.55%
0.50%
0.30%
1.35%
0.25%
0.30%
0.30%
0.50%
0.50%
0.25%
0.25%
6.00%+1567
0.50%
23.00%+335
0.55%
0.55%
0.20%
0.55%
0.50%
0.55%
0.50%
2.60%+3746
0.50%
0.50%
0.55%
0.55%
2.35%+4155
3.25%+2977
85.50%-590
14.50%+590
23.50%+326
5.25%+1805
72.50%-264
87.50%-700
Model Rankings (Best AI Model/Lab)
21 markets · $19.5K 24h volBy Sep 30, 2026Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?By Aug 31, 2026Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?By Aug 31, 2026Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
2.15%+4551
0.10%
79.50%-388
77.50%-344
61.00%-156
49.00%+104
1.45%
27.00%+270
96.20%-2532
4.30%+2226
8.50%+1076
0.35%
0.30%
21.50%+365
3.50%+2757
5.10%+1861
3.05%+3179
1.50%
0.15%
8.10%+1135
1.40%
Benchmark & Leaderboard Scores
5 markets · $2.9K 24h volBy Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?
49.00%+104
77.15%-338
25.50%+292
0.50%
1.35%
Frequently Asked Questions
Where do these Gemini / Google DeepMind odds come from?
Real, live prices from Polymarket — the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on each question, aggregated automatically by real question text, not manually curated.
How often are these odds updated?
This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule.
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