87.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 87.5% on "Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?", backed by $16 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $16
- Momentum
- +0.01pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
3.0¢ (3.4%)
Mid Price
87.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$5,500
Bid/Ask Imbalance
85% bid
Bids (Buy)
86.0¢332
85.0¢5
84.0¢15
83.0¢575
82.0¢500
77.0¢120
76.0¢400
74.0¢100
Asks (Sell)
89.0¢63
93.0¢5
94.0¢5
95.0¢5
96.0¢20
97.0¢196
98.0¢132
99.0¢422
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
91.78¢+3.13%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
97.48¢+9.53%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
97.48¢+9.53%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
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Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 87.50%, based on $16 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.