23.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 76.5% on "Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?", backed by $4.9K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $4.9K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (4.3%)
Mid Price
23.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$49,605
Bid/Ask Imbalance
4% bid
Bids (Buy)
23.0¢751
22.0¢251
21.0¢115
20.0¢200
19.0¢50
18.0¢273
17.0¢724
16.0¢298
Asks (Sell)
24.0¢8,571
25.0¢1,657
26.0¢1,902
27.0¢6,493
28.0¢1,272
29.0¢44
33.0¢510
35.0¢150
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
24.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
24.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
36.37¢+51.52%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 23.50%, based on $4.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.