AI Benchmark Scores
Real, live odds on model performance on real public benchmarks — the Arena Leaderboard, Humanity's Last Exam, LiveBench.
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89 markets · $31.1K 24h volBy Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?By Oct 31, 2026Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?By Sep 30, 2026Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?By Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?By Sep 30, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Sep 30, 2026Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Dec 31, 2026Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?By Sep 30, 2026Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?By Oct 31, 2026Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?
22.50%+344
66.00%-194
31.00%+223
35.00%+186
26.50%+277
49.00%+104
45.50%+120
54.00%-117
55.00%-122
77.15%-338
58.50%-141
40.50%+147
29.80%+236
66.50%-199
73.50%-277
36.50%+174
73.00%-270
41.00%+144
59.50%-147
56.00%-127
0.45%
22.50%+344
56.50%-130
38.00%+163
27.50%+264
43.00%+133
12.00%+733
0.45%
91.45%-1070
8.50%+1076
36.50%+174
89.50%-852
93.50%-1438
30.50%+228
0.30%
1.25%
78.00%-355
67.50%-208
77.05%-336
25.50%+292
17.00%+488
51.50%-106
0.05%
57.50%-135
95.95%-2369
18.00%+456
87.50%-700
92.35%-1207
40.50%+147
0.50%
0.50%
0.50%
1.00%
0.30%
0.30%
0.50%
0.15%
0.50%
0.50%
0.25%
0.60%
0.50%
0.30%
0.55%
0.30%
0.15%
0.45%
9.50%+953
0.10%
57.00%-133
1.20%
1.35%
0.15%
0.15%
0.55%
1.50%
0.40%
0.40%
2.15%+4551
0.60%
0.15%
0.60%
0.60%
0.60%
1.95%
0.35%
0.15%
0.15%
0.15%
Frequently Asked Questions
Where do these AI Benchmark Scores odds come from?
Real, live prices from Polymarket — the actual price real traders are paying for a "Yes" contract on each question, aggregated automatically by real question text, not manually curated.
How often are these odds updated?
This page refreshes automatically as new trades happen — there's no fixed publishing schedule.
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