AI · Polymarket

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

61.50%

Model projection: 62.8% in 14d (51.8–72.6%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 61.5% on "Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?", backed by $428 in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $428
Momentum: +0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

1.0¢ (1.6%)

Mid Price

61.5¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$5,242

Bid/Ask Imbalance

5% bid

Bids (Buy)

61.0¢161

60.0¢40

59.0¢44

57.0¢10

55.0¢40

51.0¢20

50.0¢50

48.0¢15

Asks (Sell)

62.0¢16

63.0¢199

64.0¢71

65.0¢165

66.0¢280

69.0¢50

70.0¢47

71.0¢100

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

62.90¢+1.46%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

72.07¢+16.24%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

90.80¢+46.45%

avg fill · slippage

Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 61.50%, based on $428 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.