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AI · Polymarket

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
88.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 157476788082848688909294%88.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 89.0% in 14d (86.6–91.0%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$42.0K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
88.5¢
Total Depth
$120,640
Bid/Ask Imbalance
38% bid
Bids (Buy)
88.0¢15,435
87.0¢9,766
86.0¢2,948
85.0¢1,602
84.0¢3,352
83.0¢9,872
82.0¢1,109
81.0¢471
Asks (Sell)
89.0¢1,226
90.0¢1,410
91.0¢255
92.0¢80
93.0¢537
94.0¢1,011
95.0¢1,989
96.0¢2,184
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
89.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
89.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
93.91¢+5.51%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 88.50%, based on $42.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.