AI · Polymarket
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
Trade on Polymarket →72.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 72.5% on "Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?", backed by $0 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $15.4K
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
72.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$3,599
Bid/Ask Imbalance
23% bid
Bids (Buy)
72.0¢300
71.0¢77
70.0¢87
69.0¢20
67.0¢44
65.0¢20
62.0¢250
55.0¢120
Asks (Sell)
73.0¢12
74.0¢1,510
75.0¢207
77.0¢50
86.0¢320
87.0¢1,000
98.0¢123
99.0¢205
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
73.91¢+1.25%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
73.99¢+1.36%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
81.37¢+11.47%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 72.50%, based on $15.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.