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Culture · Polymarket

Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
93.50%
03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSat 2903 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMAug 3003 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM405060708090100%93.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$255

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (3.2%)
Mid Price
93.5¢
Total Depth
$2,759
Bid/Ask Imbalance
48% bid
Bids (Buy)
92.0¢465
91.0¢150
90.0¢367
85.0¢20
73.0¢20
70.0¢20
66.0¢6
29.0¢27
Asks (Sell)
95.0¢264
96.0¢466
97.0¢300
98.0¢244
99.0¢213
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
95.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
96.06¢+1.11%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
96.78¢+1.88%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026?
27.14%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 93.50%, based on $255 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.