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AI · Polymarket

Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
0.45%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15051015202530354045%0.45%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 0.3% in 14d (0.2–0.7%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$682
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
Mid Price
Total Depth
$897
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
Asks (Sell)
0.9¢100
1.0¢22
1.2¢152
1.9¢50
3.0¢59
72.4¢235
86.6¢8
86.7¢9
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
19.48¢+2063.99%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
66.24¢+7259.95%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
66.24¢+7259.95%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenAI's latest flagship public model unavailable through a Cursor subscription on December 31, 2026?
84.14%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.45%, based on $682 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.