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AI · Polymarket

Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
32.00%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 1351015202530354045505560%32.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 33.5% in 14d (24.6–43.7%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$259
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (6.3%)
Mid Price
32.0¢
Total Depth
$1,130
Bid/Ask Imbalance
18% bid
Bids (Buy)
31.0¢266
30.0¢40
29.0¢20
24.0¢29
23.0¢100
19.0¢105
18.0¢59
16.0¢5
Asks (Sell)
33.0¢155
34.0¢198
35.0¢99
38.0¢50
39.0¢11
40.0¢20
41.0¢100
42.0¢16
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
33.48¢+1.46%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
56.73¢+71.90%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
56.73¢+71.90%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 32.00%, based on $259 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.