Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?
Trade on Polymarket →Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 69.5% on "Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?", backed by $143 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $143
- Momentum
- +0.01pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
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Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 30.50%, based on $143 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.