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AI · Polymarket

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Trade on Polymarket →
25.00%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13051015202530354045%25.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 25.7% in 14d (19.5–33.0%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$1.4K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (8.0%)
Mid Price
25.0¢
Total Depth
$14,802
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
24.0¢129
23.0¢288
22.0¢71
20.0¢27
14.0¢21
13.0¢200
12.0¢174
10.0¢22
Asks (Sell)
26.0¢2
27.0¢125
28.0¢217
40.0¢91
44.0¢5
45.0¢100
65.0¢49
66.0¢80
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
28.05¢+7.87%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
62.87¢+141.81%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
93.17¢+258.33%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 25.00%, based on $1.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.