AI · Polymarket
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
Trade on Polymarket →34.00%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 66% on "Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?", backed by $107 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $107
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
2.0¢ (5.9%)
Mid Price
34.0¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$3,474
Bid/Ask Imbalance
4% bid
Bids (Buy)
33.0¢140
32.0¢85
30.0¢6
25.0¢20
21.0¢200
13.0¢150
1.0¢5
Asks (Sell)
35.0¢250
36.0¢227
37.0¢224
45.0¢1,125
61.0¢260
84.0¢2,059
85.0¢800
99.0¢5
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
35.12¢+0.35%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
45.76¢+30.74%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
67.30¢+92.28%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 34.00%, based on $107 in tracked 24h trading volume.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.