AI · Polymarket

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?

8.00%

Model projection: 8.6% in 14d (7.1–10.3%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 92% on "Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?", backed by $62 in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $62
Momentum: +0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

4.0¢ (50.0%)

Mid Price

8.0¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$1,164

Bid/Ask Imbalance

2% bid

Bids (Buy)

6.0¢30

5.0¢323

4.0¢15

3.0¢87

2.0¢194

1.0¢309

Asks (Sell)

10.0¢80

11.0¢211

17.0¢10

18.0¢100

25.0¢10

61.0¢440

62.0¢5

64.0¢50

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

20.54¢+105.37%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

61.72¢+517.18%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

64.61¢+546.13%

avg fill · slippage

Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 8.00%, based on $62 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.