AI · Polymarket

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?

6.00%

Model projection: 2.1% in 14d (1.3–3.2%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 94% on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?", backed by $1.0K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $1.0K
Momentum: -0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

2.0¢ (33.3%)

Mid Price

6.0¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$6,962

Bid/Ask Imbalance

3% bid

Bids (Buy)

5.0¢105

4.0¢5

3.0¢2,260

2.0¢2,816

1.0¢5,218

Asks (Sell)

7.0¢50

8.0¢272

9.0¢300

10.0¢366

38.0¢18

39.0¢6

60.0¢18

61.0¢50

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

9.85¢+40.71%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

44.48¢+535.49%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

82.60¢+1080.00%

avg fill · slippage

Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 6.00%, based on $1.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.