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AI · Polymarket

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
87.50%
Wed 19Thu 20Fri 21Sat 22Aug 23Mon 24Tue 25Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 132030405060708090100%87.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 90.3% in 14d (84.7–94.0%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$9.1K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (3.4%)
Mid Price
87.5¢
Total Depth
$11,033
Bid/Ask Imbalance
12% bid
Bids (Buy)
86.0¢50
85.0¢184
81.0¢159
80.0¢200
79.0¢200
75.0¢261
71.0¢5
69.0¢159
Asks (Sell)
89.0¢329
90.0¢125
92.0¢579
93.0¢490
94.0¢267
95.0¢280
96.0¢826
97.0¢1,212
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
89.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
90.94¢+2.18%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
96.93¢+8.92%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenAI ChatGPT Astra publicly available in September 2026?
77.84%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 87.50%, based on $9.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.