22.00%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 78% on "Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?", backed by $87 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $87
- Momentum
- +0.01pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
22.0¢ (104.8%)
Mid Price
21.0¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$4,027
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
10.0¢122
7.0¢298
6.0¢149
4.0¢6
3.0¢64
1.0¢1,456
Asks (Sell)
32.0¢6
33.0¢1,096
40.0¢100
45.0¢116
73.0¢29
79.0¢54
80.0¢90
83.0¢5
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
32.98¢+3.06%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
50.58¢+58.05%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
76.88¢+140.25%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 22.00%, based on $87 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.