Skip to content
Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
AI · Polymarket

Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
79.50%
AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 130102030405060708090100%79.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 88.2% in 14d (81.9–92.4%)+0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$406
Momentum
+0.02pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
5.0¢ (6.3%)
Mid Price
79.5¢
Total Depth
$3,825
Bid/Ask Imbalance
10% bid
Bids (Buy)
77.0¢30
76.0¢248
65.0¢11
64.0¢13
63.0¢89
57.0¢20
44.0¢20
27.0¢5
Asks (Sell)
82.0¢60
83.0¢78
84.0¢64
86.0¢75
87.0¢75
88.0¢50
89.0¢418
90.0¢309
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
82.50¢+0.62%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
87.85¢+7.14%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
94.13¢+14.79%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenai Astra publically available before September 7th 2026
38.10%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 79.50%, based on $406 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.