0.10%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 99.9% on "Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?", backed by $98 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $98
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
—
Mid Price
—
Total Depth (shown levels)
$1,364
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
Asks (Sell)
0.2¢48
0.3¢82
0.9¢92
1.0¢20
1.2¢156
1.9¢50
2.4¢186
3.0¢56
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
11.48¢+5639.90%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
53.82¢+26809.74%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
61.33¢+30566.69%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
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Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.10%, based on $98 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around August 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.