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AI · Polymarket

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
94.50%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 137580859095100%94.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 95.5% in 14d (94.1–96.5%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$13.4K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
94.5¢
Total Depth
$148,484
Bid/Ask Imbalance
63% bid
Bids (Buy)
94.0¢100
93.0¢4,307
92.0¢5,222
91.0¢3,557
90.0¢19,390
89.0¢63,520
87.0¢27
86.0¢5
Asks (Sell)
95.0¢1,831
96.0¢3,000
97.0¢15,654
98.0¢14,418
99.0¢21,004
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
95.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
95.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
96.36¢+1.43%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenAI ChatGPT Astra publicly available in September 2026?
77.84%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 94.50%, based on $13.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.