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AI · Polymarket

Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
1.70%
Sat 22Aug 23Mon 24Tue 25Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07012345678%1.70%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 1.0% in 7d (0.5–1.9%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$20
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.4¢ (82.4%)
Mid Price
1.7¢
Total Depth
$17,832
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
1.0¢5
0.4¢500
0.3¢2,020
0.2¢30
0.1¢165
Asks (Sell)
2.4¢56
2.5¢20
3.5¢13
5.4¢20
7.0¢20
9.0¢200
13.5¢13
60.8¢5
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
21.44¢+793.17%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
56.37¢+2248.73%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
92.45¢+3752.28%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
58.12%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 1.70%, based on $20 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 8, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.