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AI · Polymarket

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
79.00%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 134550556065707580859095%79.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 81.3% in 14d (74.9–86.3%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$289
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
4.0¢ (5.1%)
Mid Price
79.0¢
Total Depth
$4,277
Bid/Ask Imbalance
14% bid
Bids (Buy)
77.0¢221
76.0¢295
75.0¢10
70.0¢5
68.0¢100
57.0¢100
51.0¢100
23.0¢50
Asks (Sell)
81.0¢40
82.0¢459
83.0¢108
86.0¢628
87.0¢333
88.0¢106
89.0¢50
90.0¢40
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
81.67¢+0.83%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
84.02¢+3.72%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
91.65¢+13.15%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenAI ChatGPT Astra publicly available in September 2026?
77.84%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 79.00%, based on $289 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.