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AI · Polymarket

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
99.10%
AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31767880828486889092949698100%99.10%

Stats

24h Volume
$489

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.8¢ (0.8%)
Mid Price
99.1¢
Total Depth
$896
Bid/Ask Imbalance
91% bid
Bids (Buy)
98.7¢6
89.2¢55
89.1¢6
87.0¢10
83.0¢100
79.1¢13
75.0¢434
74.1¢7
Asks (Sell)
99.5¢51
99.8¢5
99.9¢20
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
99.62¢+0.13%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$1,000 order
99.62¢+0.13%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
99.62¢+0.13%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
58.12%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 99.10%, based on $489 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.