Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →

Texas US House District 4

Texas in Context

AlaskaAlabamaArkansasArizonaCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDelawareFloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIowaIdahoIllinoisIndianaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMassachusettsMarylandMaineMichiganMinnesotaMissouriMississippiMontanaNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaNebraskaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNevadaNew YorkOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth DakotaTennesseeTexas — Republican favored, 85.50%UtahVirginiaVermontWashingtonWisconsinWest VirginiaWyomingTX
Democratic Republican Toss-up (<55%) No live race tracked▲/▼ Moved ≥1pt since last snapshot

Real Price History — Kalshi

DemocraticRepublican
Fri 03Jul 05Tue 07Thu 09Sat 11Mon 13Wed 15Fri 17Jul 19Tue 21Thu 23Sat 25Mon 27Wed 29Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 270102030405060708090100%94.00%REPUBLICAN9.30%DEMOCRATIC
R93.25%

Will Republican win the House race for TX-04?

Vol: 69 contracts · Open interest: 50
D6.65%

Will Democratic win the House race for TX-04?

Vol: 3,388 contracts · Open interest: 1,601

Source: Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, direct. Prices reflect the market's own live odds, not editorial predictions.