3.15%
2.4% calibrated
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 96.85% on "US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti", backed by $669.8K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $669.8K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
0.5¢ (11.0%)
Mid Price
4.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$77,506
Bid/Ask Imbalance
3% bid
Bids (Buy)
4.3¢318
4.2¢13,939
4.0¢587
3.7¢14
3.6¢2,040
3.5¢13,939
3.4¢13,939
3.2¢2,040
Asks (Sell)
4.8¢358
4.9¢13,939
5.0¢14,550
5.5¢17
5.6¢5,125
5.7¢13,939
5.8¢14,139
6.0¢105
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
4.88¢+1.72%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
4.93¢+2.66%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
7.98¢+66.17%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)3.38%→ 2.6% calibrated
Platforms disagree by 46.85pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
| Platform | Question | Live Price | Real Bid / Ask | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti | 3.15% | 3.1¢ / 3.2¢ | 100% |
| Limitless Furthest from consensus | Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti | 50.00% | 0.1¢ / 99.9¢ | 0% |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 3.15%, based on $669.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (50.00%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 3.38%. See the full comparison table below.