23.95%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 76.05% on "US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon", backed by $229.2K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $229.2K
- Momentum
- +0.01pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.4¢ (7.1%)
Mid Price
19.7¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$527,204
Bid/Ask Imbalance
3% bid
Bids (Buy)
19.0¢56
18.9¢106
18.8¢75
18.7¢10
18.6¢310
18.5¢7,161
18.0¢242
17.1¢822
Asks (Sell)
20.4¢123
20.6¢7
20.9¢7
21.0¢60,000
21.5¢14
21.6¢6,903
21.9¢508
22.0¢568
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
20.84¢+2.15%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
20.98¢+2.86%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
21.00¢+2.93%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)24.44%
Platforms disagree by 26.05pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
| Platform | Question | Live Price | Real Bid / Ask | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon | 23.95% | 23¢ / 24.9¢ | 98% |
| Limitless Furthest from consensus | Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon | 50.00% | 0.1¢ / 99.9¢ | 2% |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Sebastian Gorzny vs Raphael Collignon"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 23.95%, based on $229.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (50.00%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 24.44%. See the full comparison table below.