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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo

Trade on Polymarket →
40.50%
28.8% calibrated
03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMThu 0303 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM3032343638404244%40.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$160.9K

Your call

The market says 40.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price40.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability41.00%
2439
Shares
$1,439
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.5%)
Mid Price
40.5¢
Total Depth
$163,065
Bid/Ask Imbalance
50% bid
Bids (Buy)
40.0¢76,771
39.0¢22,139
38.0¢22,652
37.0¢8,414
36.0¢48,505
35.0¢11,868
34.0¢4,375
33.0¢3,456
Asks (Sell)
41.0¢10,001
42.0¢8,692
43.0¢5,301
44.0¢5,566
45.0¢967
46.0¢2,547
47.0¢5
48.0¢10
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
41.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
41.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
41.80¢+1.95%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)40.59%→ 28.9% calibrated
Platforms differ by 9.5pts — a normal range.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo40.50%40¢ / 41¢
99%
LimitlessJan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo50.00%0.1¢ / 99.9¢
1%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 40.50%, based on $160.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 9, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (50.00%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 40.59%. See the full comparison table below.