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Finance · Polymarket

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 5?

Trade on Polymarket →
38.50%
Live Bitcoin Price$77,242▼ 2.01% 24h· via CoinGecko
Aug 3006 AM12 PM06 PMMon 3106 AM12 PM06 PMSeptember06 AM12 PM06 PMWed 0206 AM12 PM06 PMThu 0306 AM12 PM06 PMFri 0406 AM12 PM06 PM202530354045505560657075%37.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 35.1% in 3d (26.7–44.5%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$5.6K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (7.8%)
Mid Price
38.5¢
Total Depth
$151,139
Bid/Ask Imbalance
7% bid
Bids (Buy)
37.0¢5,015
36.0¢926
35.0¢5,365
34.0¢10
32.0¢3,000
27.0¢5,000
20.0¢10
14.0¢800
Asks (Sell)
40.0¢6,060
41.0¢580
42.0¢186
43.0¢3,005
44.0¢10
49.0¢5,000
79.0¢10,057
86.0¢800
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
40.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
40.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
51.84¢+29.61%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldBitcoin price reaches 80k USD by the end of September
86.94%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 5?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 38.50%, based on $5.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.